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The Altcoin Graveyard: What Survives and What Goes to Zero
This was the week most altcoins died. Not corrected. Died.
Our May 14 Crypto Trends Chartbook had already flagged the warning: "Bullish Altcoin Momentum Fades." Risk management was the only rational response. That call has now been validated in the most brutal way possible.
The data tells a clear story. Our tactical altcoin model has favored Bitcoin over altcoins on 80% of trading days since January 2024. There is no persistent altcoin rally; there never was. What passed for one was largely venture capital overhang and early insiders liquidating into retail demand.
Below, we break down the critical developments across the top 50 altcoins we monitor, trend setups, latest news, and the catalysts that matter. The exercise has two equally important goals: identifying the handful of altcoins worth owning, and recognizing the ones that don't make the cut. The latter is arguably more important. Many of these tokens are going to zero. That is not dogma, it is arithmetic.
Following our risk management rules may be the difference between losing everything and being positioned to strike at the right moment.
Bitcoin (LHS) vs. Our Tactical Altcoin Model (RHS) - model only preferred Altcoins 20% of the time since January 2024
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