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What Options Traders Are Really Pricing Into Year-End for Bitcoin and Ethereum

Derivatives Insights That Move Markets

Bitcoin and Ethereum options markets are sending a very different message into year-end than headline prices suggest. Implied volatility has compressed sharply at the front end, even as longer-dated risks remain quietly elevated beneath the surface. Traders are actively selling protection, but not in the places most investors would expect. Skew dynamics reveal where fear is still being overpaid, and where convexity is being quietly mispriced. This creates a narrow window where risk can be reframed, not by chasing direction, but by harvesting volatility distortions.

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