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Sometimes a correction runs far enough to create an opportunity. This one is driven by technicals rather than fundamentals. Expressing it indirectly adds a margin of safety, since the related asset sits about 13% below fair value, which should cushion the downside. On a risk-reward basis, that makes the trade considerably more attractive. Our regression z-score now puts this trade in the buy zone. Below, we set out the technicals and fundamentals behind the trade, what drives fair value, and how best to position for it.

Our regression analysis indicates this trade is “in the buy zone”

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