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While markets fixate on geopolitical headlines, the historical data is quietly telling a different story. Three (more) signals from TradFi are converging, and when they do, prices tend to move in one direction, with a near-perfect track record (see our previous report). Numbers can always break from history, but this probability is hard to dismiss. Here's what the signals are, what they've returned, and why the odds deserve your attention.
Everyone has a theory about the war, oil prices, and what comes next. Some traders tune it out entirely; they look at the numbers, trust the process, and size their bets accordingly.
Would you take those odds? (1 month historical returns, new signal today)
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